Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nart, Cherkessk
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Druzhba. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Nart Cherkessk (1,720) and Druzhba (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nart Cherkessk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Druzhba have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Nart Cherkessk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Druzhba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Druzhba 3-2 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Druzhba 1-2 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-0 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Druzhba 1-3 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 2-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Druzhba vs Nart Cherkessk on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Druzhba score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Druzhba | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nart Cherkessk sit 7th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 19 matches) and Druzhba sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Druzhba.
- Where and when is Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba played?
- Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nart, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.