Shahter Taganrog vs FK Chayka 2: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shahter Taganrog vs FK Chayka 2?
Shahter Taganrog starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shahter Taganrog have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; FK Chayka 2 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shahter Taganrog win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FK Chayka 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FK Chayka 2 1-4 Shahter Taganrog | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: FK Chayka 2 vs Shahter Taganrog on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shahter Taganrog score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Chayka 2 score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahter Taganrog | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FK Chayka 2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shahter Taganrog sit 1st in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and FK Chayka 2 sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shahter Taganrog | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 45 |
| 16 | FK Chayka 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shahter Taganrog vs FK Chayka 2?
- The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is Shahter Taganrog vs FK Chayka 2 played?
- Shahter Taganrog vs FK Chayka 2 is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.