PSK Dinskaya vs Sevastopol: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for PSK Dinskaya. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSK Dinskaya vs Sevastopol?
Sevastopol starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSK Dinskaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sevastopol have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 PSK Dinskaya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sevastopol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Sevastopol 2-2 PSK Dinskaya | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sevastopol vs PSK Dinskaya on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSK Dinskaya score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sevastopol score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSK Dinskaya | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sevastopol | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSK Dinskaya sit 13th in Second League - Group 1 (17 points from 11 matches) and Sevastopol sit 2nd (45 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sevastopol | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 13 | PSK Dinskaya | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSK Dinskaya vs Sevastopol?
- The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for PSK Dinskaya.
- Where and when is PSK Dinskaya vs Sevastopol played?
- PSK Dinskaya vs Sevastopol is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.