Narva U21 vs Levadia U19: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Levadia U19. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Narva U21 vs Levadia U19?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Narva U21 (1,344) and Levadia U19 (1,317).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Narva U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Levadia U19 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legion(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Narva U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Levadia U19 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Levadia U19 1-0 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| May 10, 2026 | Narva U21 4-4 Levadia U19 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Levadia U19 0-4 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Levadia U19 vs Narva U21 on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Narva U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Levadia U19 score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narva U21 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Levadia U19 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Narva U21 sit 1st in Esiliiga B (45 points from 24 matches) and Levadia U19 sit 2nd (44 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 59 | 42 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Narva U21 vs Levadia U19?
- The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Levadia U19.
- Where and when is Narva U21 vs Levadia U19 played?
- Narva U21 vs Levadia U19 is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kalevi Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.