Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for JK Tabasalu. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Tallinna Kalev II (1,166) and JK Tabasalu (1,151).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tallinna Kalev II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; JK Tabasalu have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Legion(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tallinna Kalev II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 JK Tabasalu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 1-1 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 13, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 2-1 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| May 2, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 2-3 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev II 4-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | JK Tabasalu 1-3 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev II 0-1 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: JK Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev II on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tallinna Kalev II score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; JK Tabasalu score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| JK Tabasalu | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th in Esiliiga B (20 points from 25 matches) and JK Tabasalu sit 8th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 67 | 29 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 62 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
- The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for JK Tabasalu.
- Where and when is Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu played?
- Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.