Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Johvi Phoenix. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (1,272) and Johvi Phoenix (1,215).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Johvi Phoenix have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Legion(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Johvi Phoenix win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 4-2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
| May 25, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 4-3 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 3-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 score 2.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Johvi Phoenix score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Johvi Phoenix | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 7th in Esiliiga B (37 points from 25 matches) and Johvi Phoenix sit 3rd (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 69 | 54 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix?
- The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Johvi Phoenix.
- Where and when is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix played?
- Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix is played on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.