Nautico Recife vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 18, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Nautico Recife vs Bahia?
Nautico Recife won 1-0 on August 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 88′Luis Fernando Lojudice MartinezNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Bahia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2012 | Sao Paulo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Santos(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2012 | Portuguesa(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Gremio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Nautico Recife score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 1.5 | 1.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy