Match

Nautico Recife vs Avai: prediction and stats

Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife, Pernambuco

Nautico RecifeAvai

The Footlab AI model makes Nautico Recife the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Avai. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nautico Recife vs Avai?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nautico Recife (1,693) and Avai (1,664).

50%28%22%
Nautico Recife winDrawAvai win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nautico Recife vs Avai

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nautico Recife

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Paulo Sérgio
  1. 8Wenderson
  2. 7Vinícius
  3. 72Derek
  4. 10Jean Carlos
  5. 41Samuel
  1. 23Igor Fernandes
  2. 3Alberto
  3. 2Arnaldo
  4. 6Ryan
  1. 1Muriel

Avai

4-2-3-1
  1. 18Hyan
  1. 10Jean Lucas
  2. 77Zé Ricardo
  3. 95Wenderson
  4. 8Luiz Henrique
  5. 14Daniel Penha
  1. 3Allyson
  2. 36DG
  3. 22João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
  4. 38Jefferson Maciel
  1. 94Bruno Ferreira

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Avai have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nautico Recife
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Goias(away)0-0Serie B
Oct 11, 2026Vila Nova(home)0-2Serie B
Oct 8, 2026Novorizontino(home)0-2Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Fortaleza EC(away)1-1Serie B
Sep 26, 2026Sport Recife(home)3-1Serie B
Avai
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Athletic Club(home)0-0Serie B
Oct 11, 2026Cuiaba(away)1-0Serie B
Oct 7, 2026Londrina(home)2-1Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Ceara(home)0-1Serie B
Sep 27, 2026Criciuma(away)0-3Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nautico Recife wins, 1 draw, 5 Avai wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 12, 2026Avai 2-0 Nautico RecifeSerie B
Nov 21, 2021Nautico Recife 1-2 AvaiSerie B
Aug 14, 2021Avai 2-0 Nautico RecifeSerie B
Nov 6, 2020Nautico Recife 2-2 AvaiSerie B
Aug 9, 2020Avai 3-1 Nautico RecifeSerie B
Nov 12, 2016Avai 3-0 Nautico RecifeSerie B

Last archived meeting: Avai vs Nautico Recife on Jul 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nautico Recife score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avai score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nautico Recife1.01.248/155/15
Avai0.81.136/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nautico Recife sit 15th in Serie B (43 points from 34 matches) and Avai sit 17th (37 points from 34 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Nautico Recife34111013394243
17Avai3410717334337

A question about Nautico Recife vs Avai?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nautico Recife vs Avai?
The Footlab AI model makes Nautico Recife the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Avai.
Where and when is Nautico Recife vs Avai played?
Nautico Recife vs Avai is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nautico Recife and Avai

Ready to know everything about football?