Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,930) and Calvo Sotelo (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Calvo Sotelo
Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Calvo Sotelo sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Calvo Sotelo.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo played?
- Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.