A Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,844) and Real Valladolid II (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Madrid III | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
- The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Valladolid II.
- Where and when is A Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II played?
- A Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.