Osasuna II vs Barbastro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones Deportivas de Tajonar, Tajonar
The Footlab model makes Osasuna II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Barbastro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna II vs Barbastro?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Osasuna II (1,827) and Barbastro (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Barbastro have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna II score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barbastro score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna II | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Barbastro | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna II vs Barbastro?
- The Footlab model makes Osasuna II the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Barbastro.
- Where and when is Osasuna II vs Barbastro played?
- Osasuna II vs Barbastro is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones Deportivas de Tajonar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.