Tudelano vs Peña Sport: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, Tudela
The Footlab model makes Tudelano the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Peña Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tudelano vs Peña Sport?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Tudelano (1,901) and Peña Sport (1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tudelano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Peña Sport have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tudelano score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Sport score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tudelano | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Peña Sport | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 40 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tudelano vs Peña Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Tudelano the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Peña Sport.
- Where and when is Tudelano vs Peña Sport played?
- Tudelano vs Peña Sport is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.