Utebo vs Calamocha: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utebo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Calamocha?
On Elo ratings, Utebo has 1,981 points and Calamocha 1,890.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utebo vs Calamocha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utebo
Not enough data to predict the Utebo lineup.
Calamocha
4-3-3- 24Celes
- 9F. Rotellar
- 21S. Sene
- 10I. Cortes
- 5J. Lopez
- 22A. Sans
- 15Antonio Ginoves
- 11E. Pinto
- 3A. Escuin
- 20R. Perez
- 1Unai Calavia
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Calamocha have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Utebo wins, 1 draw, 0 Calamocha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | Calamocha 0-1 Utebo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Utebo 4-0 Calamocha | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Utebo 1-0 Calamocha | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Calamocha 0-1 Utebo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Calamocha 2-2 Utebo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Calamocha | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utebo sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 11 matches) and Calamocha sit 18th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Utebo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 18 | Calamocha | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Utebo vs Calamocha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Calamocha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utebo the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Calamocha.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Calamocha played?
- Utebo vs Calamocha is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.