SD Logroñés vs Arnedo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for SD Logroñés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Arnedo?
Arnedo starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SD Logroñés have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Arnedo have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 31, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 24, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 SD Logroñés win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arnedo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2024 | Arnedo 0-4 SD Logroñés | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 1, 2020 | SD Logroñés 3-0 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Arnedo 1-0 SD Logroñés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Arnedo vs SD Logroñés on Aug 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
SD Logroñés score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arnedo score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD Logroñés | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Arnedo | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SD Logroñés | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SD Logroñés vs Arnedo?
- The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for SD Logroñés.
- Where and when is SD Logroñés vs Arnedo played?
- SD Logroñés vs Arnedo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.