Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,214 Elo points against 1,882, a 332-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Rotterdam
4-1-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 6N. Verschuren
- 11I. Babadi
- 8J. Toornstra
- 16J. Baas
- 17C. Terho
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sparta Rotterdam wins, 0 draws, 6 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 6-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| May 5, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.