Netherlands vs Italy: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 7, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Netherlands vs Italy?
Italy won 0-1 on September 7, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 45′N. BarellaItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2020 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Estonia(home) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Belarus(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Northern Ireland(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Armenia(home) | 9-1 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Liechtenstein(away) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Greece(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Netherlands win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Netherlands | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Netherlands 1-2 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2008 | Netherlands 3-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.7 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Italy | 2.7 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy