Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Central Coast Mariners (1,741) and Adelaide United (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Adelaide United
4-4-2- 10Juan Muñiz
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 11C. Goodwin
- 87Anselmo
- 14J. Barnett
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 58H. Crawford
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Adelaide United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Central Coast Mariners wins, 2 draws, 1 Adelaide United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| May 1, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Coast Mariners sit 9th in A-League (32 points from 26 matches) and Adelaide United sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
A question about Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United played?
- Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.