Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Macarthur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Newcastle Jets (1,874) and Macarthur (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 8L. Vickery
- 23K. Grozos
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Macarthur have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle Jets wins, 1 draw, 3 Macarthur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Macarthur 3-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur | A-League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur | A-League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 3-0 Macarthur | Australia Cup |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 1st in A-League (48 points from 26 matches) and Macarthur sit 7th (34 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Macarthur.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.