Sydney vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sydney wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Sydney (1,871) and Adelaide United (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sydney vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 9O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 15J. Hollman
- 36R. Youlley
- 35A. Toure
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 12Harrison Devenish-Meares
Adelaide United
4-4-2- 10Juan Muñiz
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 11C. Goodwin
- 87Anselmo
- 14J. Barnett
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 58H. Crawford
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Adelaide United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sydney wins, 1 draw, 2 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sydney 1-2 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Adelaide United 2-1 Sydney | A-League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Adelaide United 2-3 Sydney | A-League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sydney 4-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Adelaide United 3-3 Sydney | A-League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sydney 2-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Sydney vs Adelaide United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Sydney vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Sydney vs Adelaide United played?
- Sydney vs Adelaide United is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.