Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab AI model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brisbane Roar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Brisbane Roar (1,681) and Perth Glory (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 67S. Colakovski
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 9J. Kucharski
- 39Giovanni De Abreu
- 23Anthony Didulica
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 3S. Sutton
- 17A. Sulemani
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brisbane Roar wins, 1 draw, 3 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-3 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 0-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-4 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 11th in A-League (26 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
A question about Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory is played on October 23, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.