Newcastle vs Brentford: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 15, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Brentford?
Newcastle won 3-1 on October 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′C. ClarkNewcastle
- 16′D. GayleNewcastle
- 49′D. GayleNewcastle
- 52′S. HoganBrentford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Brentford have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Rotherham(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Reading(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Wolves(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Preston(home) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Brentford | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy