Newport County vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Newport County (1,807) and Northampton (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 20Y. Bamba
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Northampton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newport County win, 1 draw, 4 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Northampton 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Newport County 3-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Northampton 1-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 8, 2022 | Northampton 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Newport County 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Northampton 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Newport County on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 11th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Northampton sit 22nd (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Newport County vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Northampton played?
- Newport County vs Northampton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.