Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Llanuwchllyn. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Llanuwchllyn
Not enough data to predict the Llanuwchllyn lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Llanuwchllyn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Newtown AFC win, 1 draw, 0 Llanuwchllyn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Newtown AFC 4-0 Llanuwchllyn | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Llanuwchllyn 0-0 Newtown AFC | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llanuwchllyn score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Llanuwchllyn | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Llanuwchllyn.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn played?
- Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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