Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urukundo, Mwumba
The Footlab AI model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Panthere Noir. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ngozi City (1,397) and Panthere Noir (1,370).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ngozi City
Not enough data to predict the Ngozi City lineup.
Panthere Noir
Not enough data to predict the Panthere Noir lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ngozi City have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Panthere Noir have 1, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-5 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ngozi City score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Panthere Noir score 0.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ngozi City | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Panthere Noir | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 2/9 | 1/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ngozi City sit 11th in Ligue A (12 points from 9 matches) and Panthere Noir sit 15th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ngozi City | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 15 | Panthere Noir | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ngozi City the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Panthere Noir.
- Where and when is Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir played?
- Ngozi City vs Panthere Noir is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urukundo, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.