Where and when is Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?

Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

Nieciecza

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).

Nieciecza win45 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?: Nieciecza vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.