Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Podbeskidzie win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Podbeskidzie 2-3 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 1-3 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 4-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Podbeskidzie 4-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Miedz LegnicavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPolonia Warszawa
- Mar 6, 2027NiecieczavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 6, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 6, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsOdra Opole
- Mar 6, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsChrobry Głogów
- Mar 6, 2027Stal RzeszówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Mar 6, 2027Polonia BytomvsArka Gdynia