Match

Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

PodbeskidziePuszcza Niepołomice

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,836).

Podbeskidzie win54 %
Draw24 %
Puszcza Niepołomice win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga
Puszcza Niepołomice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Arka Gdynia(away)0-3I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)0-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)0-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Podbeskidzie win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Podbeskidzie 2-3 Puszcza NiepołomiceFriendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2023Podbeskidzie 1-3 Puszcza NiepołomiceFriendlies Clubs
Mar 18, 2023Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Aug 20, 2022Podbeskidzie 0-1 Puszcza NiepołomiceI Liga
Mar 13, 2022Puszcza Niepołomice 4-2 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Aug 29, 2021Podbeskidzie 4-0 Puszcza NiepołomiceI Liga

Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15
Puszcza Niepołomice0.81.534/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Podbeskidzie5050885
17Puszcza Niepołomice5104373

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
Podbeskidzie vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podbeskidzie and Puszcza Niepołomice

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