Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vorhornweg Platz 1, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Nikola Tesla. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Nikola Tesla (1,709) and Buchholz (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nikola Tesla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Curslack-Neuengamme(away) | 8-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nikola Tesla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Buchholz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla 1-3 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Buchholz 2-5 Nikola Tesla | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nikola Tesla score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Tesla | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nikola Tesla sit 15th in Oberliga - Hamburg (37 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
| 15 | Nikola Tesla | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 95 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Nikola Tesla.
- Where and when is Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz played?
- Nikola Tesla vs Buchholz is played on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Vorhornweg Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.