Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Tus Dassendorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Tus Dassendorf?
Tus Dassendorf is a heavy favourite: 2,058 Elo points against 1,722 — a 336-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Tus Dassendorf have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tus Dassendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf 2-0 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 3-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Tus Dassendorf 6-1 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 1-4 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Tus Dassendorf vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 sit 14th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd (76 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Tus Dassendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Tus Dassendorf played?
- Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Tus Dassendorf is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.