Niva vs Osipovichy: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Osipovichy. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niva vs Osipovichy?
Niva is a heavy favourite: 1,562 Elo points against 1,227, a 335-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niva have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Osipovichy have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Niva win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Osipovichy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Osipovichy 2-4 Niva | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Osipovichy 0-7 Niva | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Niva 2-2 Osipovichy | 1. Division |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Osipovichy 1-4 Niva | 1. Division |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Niva 3-1 Osipovichy | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Osipovichy score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Osipovichy | 1.2 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niva sit 1st in 1. Division (42 points from 21 matches) and Osipovichy sit 18th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 51 | 17 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niva vs Osipovichy?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Osipovichy.
- Where and when is Niva vs Osipovichy played?
- Niva vs Osipovichy is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.