BATE II vs Gomel II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes BATE II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Gomel II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BATE II vs Gomel II?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate BATE II (1,331) and Gomel II (1,282).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BATE II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gomel II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 BATE II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gomel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gomel II 3-4 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | BATE II 5-1 Gomel II | 1. Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Gomel II 1-4 BATE II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BATE II sit 17th in 1. Division (17 points from 21 matches) and Gomel II sit 16th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BATE II vs Gomel II?
- The Footlab model makes BATE II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Gomel II.
- Where and when is BATE II vs Gomel II played?
- BATE II vs Gomel II is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.