Dinamo Minsk II vs Smorgon: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Smorgon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Minsk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Minsk II vs Smorgon?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Dinamo Minsk II (1,369) and Smorgon (1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Minsk II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Smorgon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Niva(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dinamo Minsk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Smorgon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Smorgon 1-3 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk II 0-3 Smorgon | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Smorgon vs Dinamo Minsk II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Minsk II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Smorgon | 2.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Minsk II sit 11th in 1. Division (25 points from 20 matches) and Smorgon sit 14th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Minsk II vs Smorgon?
- The Footlab model makes Smorgon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Minsk II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Minsk II vs Smorgon played?
- Dinamo Minsk II vs Smorgon is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.