Ostrovets FC vs Volna: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadyen ASK, Astravets
The Footlab model makes Volna the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Ostrovets FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrovets FC vs Volna?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ostrovets FC (1,404) and Volna (1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrovets FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Volna have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ostrovets FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Volna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Volna 2-2 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 2-1 Volna | 1. Division |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Volna 1-3 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 1-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Volna 3-2 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Ostrovets FC 1-4 Volna | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrovets FC sit 12th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Volna sit 8th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrovets FC vs Volna?
- The Footlab model makes Volna the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Ostrovets FC.
- Where and when is Ostrovets FC vs Volna played?
- Ostrovets FC vs Volna is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadyen ASK, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.