Nizhny Novgorod vs Tekstilshchik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tekstilshchik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Tekstilshchik?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,842) and Tekstilshchik (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tekstilshchik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tekstilshchik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik 1-3 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Tekstilshchik 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Tekstilshchik 0-2 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Nizhny Novgorod on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Tekstilshchik | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (21 points from 8 matches) and Tekstilshchik sit 15th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 15 | Tekstilshchik | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Tekstilshchik?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tekstilshchik.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Tekstilshchik played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Tekstilshchik is played on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.