FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Kostroma. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC UFA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,752) and Spartak Kostroma (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC UFA
3-4-1-2- 88M. Ageyan
- 70D. Ortíz
- 8S. Isaev
- 6Z. Tarba
- 9D. Lipovoy
- 11M. Yakuev
- 23D. Akhatov
- 2V. Cherov
- 43A. Gilyazetdinov
- 5D. Kutin
- 31A. Belenov
Spartak Kostroma
4-2-3-1- 90A. Kalmykov
- 17D. Kaptilovich
- 87Armin Spahic
- 18V. Kamilov
- 10D. Karaev
- 73D. Kirakosyan
- 21M. Bugarin
- 5D. Zhilmostnykh
- 7K. Malyarov
- 2N. Tarasov
- 50E. Shamov
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC UFA wins, 2 draws, 1 Spartak Kostroma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 FC UFA | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 0-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 2-0 FC UFA | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 4, 2025 | FC UFA 0-0 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Spartak Kostroma 0-1 FC UFA | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 9, 2023 | FC UFA 2-0 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 8th in First League (21 points from 15 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 5th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartak Kostroma | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 27 |
| 8 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 21 |
A question about FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Kostroma.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma is played on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.