FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Sochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,833) and Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 27K. Zaika
- 51T. Mitrov
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2- 15D. Samoylov
- 10A. Gongapshev
- 64O. Lanin
- 24I. Azyavin
- 50A. Golubev
- 54I. Shmakov
- 62V. Karpov
- 53N. Kotin
- 17E. Valiakhmetov
- 49M. Karaev
- 66N. Yanovich
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Shinnik Yaroslavl have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Sochi win, 4 draws, 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-2 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-0 FC Sochi | Cup |
| May 19, 2019 | FC Sochi 0-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 FC Sochi | First League |
Last archived meeting: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (29 points from 14 matches) and Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 8th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 29 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
A question about FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl played?
- FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl is played on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.