Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trud, Ulyanovsk
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volga Ulyanovsk have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 3-1 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 1-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-2 Torpedo Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk 2-0 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 2-3 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volga Ulyanovsk sit 13th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva is played on November 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trud, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.