Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Nakhon PathomvsSongkhla
- Dec 5, 2026ChanthaburivsMuang Loei United
- Dec 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Dec 5, 2026UttaraditvsPhrae United
- Dec 5, 2026Kasetsart FCvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 6, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 6, 2026SatunvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 6, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsChainat