Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua PitchayaNakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win45 %
Draw26 %
Nakhon Ratchasima FC win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2025Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1
Sep 28, 2024Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 1
Apr 20, 2024Nakhon Ratchasima FC 3-0 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Dec 23, 2023Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2
Feb 11, 2023Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1
Sep 10, 2022Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Feb 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on December 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nong Bua Pitchaya and Nakhon Ratchasima FC

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