Chiangmai United vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Chainat (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chiangmai United win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Chainat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Chainat 3-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chiangmai United 3-4 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Chainat 0-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Chiangmai United 0-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Chainat 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chiangmai United 0-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chiangmai United on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Chainat played?
- Chiangmai United vs Chainat is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Nakhon PathomvsSongkhla
- Dec 5, 2026ChanthaburivsMuang Loei United
- Dec 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Dec 5, 2026UttaraditvsPhrae United
- Dec 5, 2026Kasetsart FCvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 6, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 6, 2026SatunvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsNakhon Ratchasima FC