Match

Chiangmai United vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai UnitedChainat

The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Chainat (1,425).

Chiangmai United win50 %
Draw23 %
Chainat win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chiangmai United win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Chainat win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2026Chainat 3-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Sep 28, 2025Chiangmai United 3-4 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 1, 2025Chainat 0-0 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Sep 22, 2024Chiangmai United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 18, 2024Chainat 1-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Oct 21, 2023Chiangmai United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chiangmai United on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
10Chiangmai United3414119555843

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Chainat?
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Chainat played?
Chiangmai United vs Chainat is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chiangmai United and Chainat

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