Match

Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedPolice Tero

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Police Tero (1,474).

Mahasarakham United win44 %
Draw27 %
Police Tero win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mahasarakham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Police Tero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Police Tero 0-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Nov 22, 2025Mahasarakham United 2-3 Police TeroThai League 2
Mar 29, 2025Police Tero 1-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Nov 30, 2024Mahasarakham United 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero played?
Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mahasarakham United and Police Tero

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