Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mahasarakham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Police Tero 0-0 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 2-3 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Police Tero 1-1 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Mahasarakham United 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Mahasarakham United on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero played?
- Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Nakhon PathomvsSongkhla
- Dec 5, 2026ChanthaburivsMuang Loei United
- Dec 5, 2026UttaraditvsPhrae United
- Dec 5, 2026Kasetsart FCvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 6, 2026SatunvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 6, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 6, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsChainat