Chanthaburi vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Muang Loei United?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chanthaburi (1,432) and Muang Loei United (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Muang Loei United?
- The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Muang Loei United.
- Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Muang Loei United played?
- Chanthaburi vs Muang Loei United is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Nakhon PathomvsSongkhla
- Dec 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Dec 5, 2026UttaraditvsPhrae United
- Dec 5, 2026Kasetsart FCvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 6, 2026SatunvsEsan Pattaya
- Dec 6, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 6, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsChainat