GOES vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), Goes
The Footlab model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for GOES. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOES vs Noordwijk?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOES have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Noordwijk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | EVV(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Kloetinge(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 GOES win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Noordwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | GOES 3-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Noordwijk 2-2 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
GOES score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOES | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Noordwijk | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOES vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for GOES.
- Where and when is GOES vs Noordwijk played?
- GOES vs Noordwijk is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.