Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem played?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on December 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Nordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win40 %

Draw25 %

Nordia Jerusalem win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 5, 2025	Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)	1-5	State Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)	0-1	State Cup
Oct 8, 2024	Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)	2-1	State Cup
Sep 24, 2024	Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)	3-1	State Cup
Sep 6, 2024	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)	4-2	State Cup

Nordia Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Hapoel Azor(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	FC Jerusalem(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tzeirey Tira(away)	2-5	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)	2-2	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2019	Nordia Jerusalem 4-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	Liga Alef
Nov 9, 2018	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Feb 11, 2018	Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	Liga Alef
Sep 26, 2017	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Mar 16, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1.7	1.9	2	8/15	10/15
Nordia Jerusalem	1.5	1.9	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28	40	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem played?: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on December 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.