Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona?
Dimona starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Dimona have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dimona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Dimona 3-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Dimona 3-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 3-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Dimona 2-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Dimona vs Hapoel Marmorek on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Dimona sit 3rd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel HaderavsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 15, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Herzliya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi YavnevsTzeirey Tira
- Dec 15, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 15, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 15, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Sderot