Match

Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot

Hapoel MarmorekDimona

The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona?

Dimona starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,608).

Hapoel Marmorek win26 %
Draw27 %
Dimona win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Dimona have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef
Dimona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)1-4Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-4Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dimona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 27, 2025Dimona 3-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Feb 7, 2025Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 DimonaLiga Alef
Oct 9, 2024Dimona 3-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Mar 22, 2024Hapoel Marmorek 3-2 DimonaLiga Alef
Dec 29, 2023Dimona 2-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Feb 3, 2023Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 DimonaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Dimona vs Hapoel Marmorek on Nov 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15
Dimona1.31.558/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Dimona sit 3rd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Dimona221147293037
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona?
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona played?
Hapoel Marmorek vs Dimona is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Marmorek and Dimona

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