Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuHapoel Herzliya

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).

Holon Yermiyahu win41 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Herzliya win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 1, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 0-4 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Mar 21, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Dec 2, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 3-1 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Apr 26, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 4-1 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Feb 6, 2024Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 3, 2023Holon Yermiyahu 2-5 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Hapoel Herzliya

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