Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-4 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 4-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-5 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsDimona
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel HaderavsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi YavnevsTzeirey Tira
- Dec 15, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 15, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 15, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Sderot