Sheffield Utd vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,924) and Swansea (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Swansea have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sheffield Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Swansea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea 0-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 3-3 Swansea | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Swansea 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Swansea 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 3-0 Swansea | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea vs Sheffield Utd on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Swansea | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Swansea sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Swansea?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Swansea played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Swansea is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.