Teramo vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, Teramo
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teramo vs Termoli Calcio?
Teramo starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teramo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Victor San Marino(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sammaurese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Teramo win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Termoli Calcio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo 0-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Teramo 4-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 1-2 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 1-1 Teramo | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Teramo vs Termoli Calcio on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teramo | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teramo sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (74 points from 34 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 29 | 74 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teramo vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Teramo vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Teramo vs Termoli Calcio is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 18, 2026Foligno CalciovsReal Giulianova
- Oct 18, 2026RecanatesevsL'Aquila
- Oct 18, 2026NotarescovsMaceratese
- Oct 18, 2026Atletico AscolivsLanciano FC
- Oct 18, 2026Montecchio GallovsAngelana
- Oct 18, 2026PietralungavsSporting Trestina
- Oct 18, 2026SantegidiesevsVigor Senigallia