Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków
The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unia Swarzędz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Noteć Czarnków (1,678) and Unia Swarzędz (1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noteć Czarnków
Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.
Unia Swarzędz
Not enough data to predict the Unia Swarzędz lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Noteć Czarnków wins, 1 draw, 3 Unia Swarzędz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz 0-3 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 3-1 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Unia Swarzędz 2-3 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Noteć Czarnków 1-1 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Unia Swarzędz 3-2 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Noteć Czarnków on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noteć Czarnków sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (21 points from 16 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 7th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
A question about Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków.
- Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz played?
- Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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