Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć CzarnkówUnia Swarzędz

The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unia Swarzędz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Noteć Czarnków (1,678) and Unia Swarzędz (1,710).

33%26%41%
Noteć Czarnków winDrawUnia Swarzędz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Noteć Czarnków

Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.

Unia Swarzędz

Not enough data to predict the Unia Swarzędz lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Victoria Września(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Victoria Września(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Noteć Czarnków wins, 1 draw, 3 Unia Swarzędz wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Unia Swarzędz 0-3 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
May 8, 2026Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2025Unia Swarzędz 3-1 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 23, 2024Unia Swarzędz 2-3 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 3, 2024Noteć Czarnków 1-1 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 27, 2024Unia Swarzędz 3-2 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Noteć Czarnków on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków1.21.266/158/15
Unia Swarzędz1.51.347/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (21 points from 16 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 7th (22 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Unia Swarzędz16646262222
9Noteć Czarnków16637212321

A question about Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz?
The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz played?
Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Noteć Czarnków and Unia Swarzędz