Match

Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

KaliszKotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).

Kalisz win49 %
Draw24 %
Kotwica Kórnik win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)0-2Cup
Kotwica Kórnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Victoria Września(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kalisz(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Luzino(home)2-6III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kalisz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Kotwica Kórnik 2-2 KaliszIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Kalisz on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kalisz0.91.737/157/15
Kotwica Kórnik1.12.119/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kalisz5221548
18Kotwica Kórnik50144121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik?
The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kalisz and Kotwica Kórnik

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