Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Kotwica Kórnik (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kalisz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik 2-2 Kalisz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Kalisz on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Kalisz vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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