Match

Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia ŚrodaChemik Bydgoszcz

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,692).

72%16%12%
Polonia Środa winDrawChemik Bydgoszcz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Chemik Bydgoszcz

4-3-3
  1. PPaweł Michalski
  2. GGrzegorz Adamski
  3. SSzymon Maziarz
  1. FFranciszek Marzec
  2. GGabriel Pieczyński
  3. DDamian Rysiewski
  1. 6M. Ozga
  2. BBartosz Czyżewski
  3. AAdam Kacprzak
  4. KKamil Goździkowski
  1. PPaweł Laskowski

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Nov 7, 2026Elana Toruń(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Polonia Środa win, 0 draws, 0 Chemik Bydgoszcz wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz 1-4 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Środa on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15
Chemik Bydgoszcz1.52.0112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (18 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
15Chemik Bydgoszcz16466263118

A question about Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Polonia Środa and Chemik Bydgoszcz