Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków
The Footlab AI model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Noteć Czarnków wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Noteć Czarnków (1,678) and Kalisz (1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noteć Czarnków
Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.
Kalisz
Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kalisz have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Noteć Czarnków win, 0 draws, 0 Kalisz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalisz 0-1 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kalisz | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noteć Czarnków sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (21 points from 16 matches) and Kalisz sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz played?
- Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLuzino
- Mar 6, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsPolonia Środa
- Mar 6, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 6, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsElana Toruń
- Mar 6, 2027Gedania GdanskvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 6, 2027Victoria WrześniavsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 6, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsWda Świecie
- Mar 6, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLech Poznań II